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NHL Prop Bets: Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning (March 22, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-4) face the Calgary Flames (28-34-7) at Scotiabank Saddledome. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup.

  • The Lightning have a 34-34 Puck Line record this season, while the Flames hold a record of 39-30.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at +105 and UNDER at -125.

  • The Lightning have a 34-29-5 O/U record this season (meaning 34 games have gone over the total points line, 29 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Flames have a 32-33-4 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Lightning are averaging 3.59 goals per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Flames are averaging only 2.46 (32nd).
  • Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.74 goals per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Flames are giving up an average of 3.06 goals (18th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 28.1 shots per game this season (15th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Calgary is allowing its opposition 29.3 shots per game (T22nd).
  • Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing 27.0 shots per game (9th in the NHL), while the Flames are averaging 28.8 shots (10th).

Power Play

  • Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 22.1%, ranking T12th in the league this season, while Calgary sits 31st with 15.8% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 82.3% (ranked 6th), compared to the Flames at 81.0% (10th).

P1 Result

Tampa Bay is +145 to win the first period, while Calgary is +215.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Tampa Bay 30-22-16 13-10-9 17-12-7 4-4-2
    Calgary 27-25-17 16-8-10 11-17-7 4-5-1

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +300 to go to overtime.

  • The Lightning have played in 13 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Flames have appeared in 12.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Lightning have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Flames have also appeared in 6.

Last Time They Met

Tampa Bay recorded a 5-1 beatdown over Calgary at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on November 26. The Lightning have now won three straight against the Flames.