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NHL Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars (March 28, 2026)

The Dallas Stars (43-18-11) face the Pittsburgh Penguins (36-20-16) at PPG Paints Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Stars are favored to win at -125. They're currently +190 to cover the -1.5 puck line while the Penguins are -230 to cover the +1.5 puck line.

  • The Stars have a 28-44 Puck Line record this season, while the Penguins hold a record of 43-29.

The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -122 and UNDER at +102.

  • The Stars have a 35-36-1 O/U record this season (meaning 35 games have gone over the total points line, 36 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Penguins have a 39-30-3 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Stars are averaging 3.33 goals per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Penguins are averaging 3.39 (7th).
  • Defensively, the Stars are giving up only 2.69 goals per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Penguins are giving up an average of 3.03 goals (T13th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Dallas is averaging 25.7 shots per game this season (27th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is allowing its opposition 27.4 shots per game (13th).
  • Flipping that script, the Stars are allowing 26.5 shots per game (7th in the NHL), while the Penguins are averaging 29.2 shots (8th).

Power Play

  • Dallas holds a power play percentage of 28.8%, ranking 2nd in the league this season, while Pittsburgh sits 6th with 24.4% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Stars have a penalty kill rate of 81.2% (ranked 10th), compared to the Penguins at 82.6% (3rd).

P1 Result

Dallas is +165 to win the first period, while Pittsburgh is +200.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Dallas 28-18-26 14-10-12 14-8-14 4-4-2
    Pittsburgh 31-23-18 16-9-10 14-14-7 2-6-2

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +270 to go to overtime.

  • The Stars have played in 21 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Penguins have appeared in 23.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Stars have played in 9 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Penguins have appeared in 14.

Last Time They Met

Dallas recorded a 3-2 overtime victory over Pittsburgh at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on December 7. Miro Heiskanen led the way to that result, scoring 1 goal.