NHL Prop Bets: Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning (April 6, 2026)
The Tampa Bay Lightning (48-22-6) face the Buffalo Sabres (46-23-8) at KeyBank Center. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Monday's matchup.
- The Lightning have a 38-38 Puck Line record this season, while the Sabres hold a record of 42-35.
The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.
- The Lightning have a 38-32-6 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total points line, 32 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Sabres have a 36-38-3 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Lightning are averaging 3.59 goals per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Sabres are averaging 3.39 (7th).
- Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.75 goals per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Sabres are giving up an average of 3.00 goals (T10th).
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 28.4 shots per game this season (T11th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Buffalo is allowing its opposition 29.3 shots per game (23rd).
- Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing 26.8 shots per game (8th in the NHL), while the Sabres are averaging 28.2 shots (13th).
Power Play
- Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 21.7%, ranking 14th in the league this season, while Buffalo sits 15th with 20.8% of its power play opportunities converted.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 82.3% (ranked 4th), compared to the Sabres at 82.1% (5th).
P1 Result
Tampa Bay is +165 to win the first period, while Buffalo is +180.
- Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 30-27-19 | 13-14-12 | 17-13-7 | 1-6-3 |
| Buffalo | 25-26-26 | 15-12-11 | 10-14-15 | 2-4-4 |
To Go To Overtime
Monday's matchup is +290 to go to overtime.
- The Lightning have played in 15 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Sabres have appeared in 16.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Lightning have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Sabres have appeared in 5.
Last Time They Met
Buffalo recorded a 7-8 victory over Tampa Bay at KeyBank Center when these teams last met on March 8. Jason Zucker led the way to that result, recording 2 goals and 1 assist.
