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NHL Prop Bets: Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning (April 7, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (48-23-6) face the Ottawa Senators (40-27-10) at Canadian Tire Centre. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup.

  • The Lightning have a 38-39 Puck Line record this season, while the Senators hold a record of 35-42.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Lightning have a 38-33-6 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total points line, 33 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Senators have a 40-35-2 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Lightning are averaging 3.57 goals per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Senators are averaging 3.31 (8th).
  • Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.77 goals per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Senators are giving up an average of 3.08 goals (T20th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 28.3 shots per game this season (12th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Ottawa is allowing its opposition 24.4 shots per game (2nd).
  • Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing 26.8 shots per game (8th in the NHL), while the Senators are averaging 28.9 shots (8th).

Power Play

  • Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 21.7%, ranking 14th in the league this season, while Ottawa sits 11th with 22.7% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 82.6% (ranked 3rd), easily outperforming the Senators, who sit at 74.8% (30th).

P1 Result

Tampa Bay is +195 to win the first period, while Ottawa is +160.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Tampa Bay 30-28-19 13-14-12 17-14-7 0-7-3
    Ottawa 27-21-29 11-11-16 16-10-13 4-2-4

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +275 to go to overtime.

  • The Lightning have played in 15 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Senators have appeared in 16.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Lightning have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Senators have appeared in 4.

Last Time They Met

Tampa Bay recorded a 4-2 victory over Ottawa at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on March 28. Emil Martinsen Lilleberg led the way to that result, recording 1 goal and 2 assists.