NHL Prop Bets: Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning (April 26, 2026)
The Tampa Bay Lightning face the Montreal Canadiens in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference First Round at Bell Centre. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Lightning are favored to win at -115. They're currently +205 to cover the -1.5 puck line while the Canadiens are -250 to cover the +1.5 puck line.
- The Lightning have a 38-47 Puck Line record this season (including playoffs), while the Canadiens hold a record of 48-37.
The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -130 and UNDER at +110.
- The Lightning have a 41-38-6 O/U record this season, including playoffs (meaning 41 games have gone over the total points line, 38 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Canadiens have a 45-36-4 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Lightning averaged 3.49 goals per game during the regular season (4th in the NHL), while the Canadiens averaged 3.40 (7th). More recently, the Lightning are averaging 2.67 goals in these playoffs and the Canadiens have managed 3.00.
- Defensively, the Lightning allowed 2.79 goals per game during the regular season (3rd in the NHL). Meanwhile, the Canadiens gave up 3.06 (T16th). During the playoffs, the Lightning have given up 3.00 per contest, while the Canadiens are allowing 2.67.
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, the Lightning are averaging 24.7 shots per game during the postseason, down 3.4 from their regular season number of 28.1. Alternatively, the Canadiens are allowing 24.7 shots per game throughout these playoffs, an increase of 3.2 from their regular season average of 27.8.
- Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing 25.0 shots per game in the playoffs, down 26.7 from their regular season average. Meanwhile, the Canadiens are recording 25.0 shots per contest during the postseason, which is an increase of 1.3 from their regular season number of 26.3.
Power Play
- The Lightning held a power play percentage of 20.7% during the regular season, ranking 17th in the NHL. During the postseason, they hold a percentage of 23.1%. Comparatively, the Canadiens ranked 10th with 23.1% of their power play opportunities converted into goals in the regular season. In these playoffs they hold a percentage of 30.8%.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Lightning had a penalty kill rate of 82.6% during the regular season (3rd) and have a kill rate of 69.2% in the postseason. Alternatively, the Canadiens had a penalty kill rate of 78.2% in the regular season (18th) and 76.9% in the playoffs.
P1 Result
Tampa Bay is +180 to win the first period, while Montreal is +185.
- Here are their first period records in 2025/26 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 30-30-25 | 13-16-14 | 17-14-11 | 0-3-7 |
| Montreal | 28-25-32 | 14-13-15 | 14-12-17 | 2-4-4 |
To Go To Overtime
Sunday's matchup is +270 to go to overtime.
- The Lightning have played in 19 games that have gone to overtime this season (including playoffs), while the Canadiens have appeared in 27.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Lightning have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout this season (including playoffs), while the Canadiens have appeared in 9.
Last Time They Met
The Canadiens recorded a 3-2 overtime victory over the Lightning at Bell Centre on Friday. The Canadiens now hold a 2-1 series lead. Lane Hutson led the way to that result, scoring 1 goal.
