NHL Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens (May 3, 2026)
The Montreal Canadiens face the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference First Round at Benchmark International Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup.
- The Canadiens have a 51-37 Puck Line record this season (including playoffs), while the Lightning hold a record of 38-50.
The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at +124 and UNDER at -148.
- The Canadiens have a 45-39-4 O/U record this season, including playoffs (meaning 45 games have gone over the total points line, 39 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Lightning have a 41-41-6 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Canadiens averaged 3.40 goals per game during the regular season (7th in the NHL), while the Lightning averaged 3.49 (4th). More recently, the Canadiens are averaging 2.33 goals in these playoffs and the Lightning have managed 2.33.
- Defensively, the Canadiens allowed 3.06 goals per game during the regular season (T16th in the NHL). Meanwhile, the Lightning gave up 2.79 (3rd). During the playoffs, the Canadiens have given up 2.33 per contest, while the Lightning are allowing 2.33.
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, the Canadiens are averaging 24.5 shots per game during the postseason, down 1.8 from their regular season number of 26.3. Alternatively, the Lightning are allowing 24.5 shots per game throughout these playoffs, an increase of 2.2 from their regular season average of 26.7.
- Flipping that script, the Canadiens are allowing 27.8 shots per game in the playoffs, down 27.8 from their regular season average. Meanwhile, the Lightning are recording 27.8 shots per contest during the postseason, which is an increase of 0.3 from their regular season number of 28.1.
Power Play
- The Canadiens held a power play percentage of 23.1% during the regular season, ranking 10th in the NHL. During the postseason, they hold a percentage of 20.8%. Comparatively, the Lightning ranked 17th with 20.7% of their power play opportunities converted into goals in the regular season. In these playoffs they hold a percentage of 15.4%.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Canadiens had a penalty kill rate of 78.2% during the regular season (18th) and have a kill rate of 84.6% in the postseason. Alternatively, the Lightning had a penalty kill rate of 82.6% in the regular season (3rd) and 79.2% in the playoffs.
P1 Result
Montreal is +220 to win the first period, while Tampa Bay is +170.
- Here are their first period records in 2025/26 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal | 29-25-34 | 14-13-17 | 15-12-17 | 2-2-6 |
| Tampa Bay | 30-31-27 | 13-17-14 | 17-14-13 | 0-3-7 |
To Go To Overtime
Sunday's matchup is +265 to go to overtime.
- The Canadiens have played in 28 games that have gone to overtime this season (including playoffs), while the Lightning have appeared in 20.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Canadiens have played in 9 games that have gone to a shootout this season (including playoffs), while the Lightning have appeared in 6.
Last Time They Met
The Lightning recorded a 1-0 overtime victory over the Canadiens at Bell Centre on Friday. The series is now tied at 3-3.
