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NHL Prop Bets: Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche (May 11, 2026)

The Colorado Avalanche face the Minnesota Wild in Game 4 of the Western Conference Second Round at Grand Casino Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Monday's matchup.

  • The Avalanche have a 46-43 Puck Line record this season (including playoffs), while the Wild hold a record of 45-46.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.

  • The Avalanche have a 35-49-5 O/U record this season, including playoffs (meaning 35 games have gone over the total points line, 49 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Wild have a 49-36-6 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Avalanche averaged 3.63 goals per game during the regular season (1st in the NHL), while the Wild averaged 3.27 (T10th). More recently, the Avalanche are averaging 4.00 goals in these playoffs and the Wild have managed 4.00.
  • Defensively, the Avalanche allowed 2.40 goals per game during the regular season (1st in the NHL). Meanwhile, the Wild gave up 2.87 (4th). During the playoffs, the Avalanche have given up 2.57 per contest, while the Wild are allowing 3.33.

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, the Avalanche are averaging 32.1 shots per game during the postseason, down 1.6 from their regular season number of 33.7. Alternatively, the Wild are allowing 32.0 shots per game throughout these playoffs, an increase of 2.6 from their regular season average of 29.4.
  • Flipping that script, the Avalanche are allowing 27.7 shots per game in the playoffs, up 26.1 from their regular season average. Meanwhile, the Wild are recording 30.6 shots per contest during the postseason, which is an increase of 1.4 from their regular season number of 29.2.

Power Play

  • The Avalanche held a power play percentage of 17.1% during the regular season, ranking 27th in the NHL. During the postseason, they hold a percentage of 23.8%. Comparatively, the Wild ranked 3rd with 25.2% of their power play opportunities converted into goals in the regular season. In these playoffs they hold a percentage of 18.2%.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Avalanche had a penalty kill rate of 84.6% during the regular season (1st) and have a kill rate of 79.2% in the postseason. Alternatively, the Wild had a penalty kill rate of 79.8% in the regular season (16th) and 60.0% in the playoffs.

P1 Result

Colorado is +175 to win the first period, while Minnesota is +180.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26 (including playoffs).
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Colorado 38-17-34 19-8-18 19-9-16 4-1-5
    Minnesota 33-29-29 16-17-12 17-12-17 3-3-4

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +275 to go to overtime.

  • The Avalanche have played in 19 games that have gone to overtime this season (including playoffs), while the Wild have appeared in 29.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Avalanche have played in 10 games that have gone to a shootout this season (including playoffs), while the Wild have appeared in 9.

Last Time They Met

The Wild recorded a lopsided 5-1 victory against the Avalanche at Grand Casino Arena on Saturday. Despite that result, the Avalanche still lead the series 2-1. Kirill Kaprizov led the way to that result, recording 1 goal and 2 assists.