NHL Prop Bets: Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres (May 12, 2026)
The Buffalo Sabres face the Montreal Canadiens in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Second Round at Bell Centre. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Canadiens are favored to win at -135. They're currently +185 to cover the -1.5 puck line while the Sabres are -225 to cover the +1.5 puck line.
- The Sabres have a 51-40 Puck Line record this season (including playoffs), while the Canadiens hold a record of 54-38.
The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at +105 and UNDER at -125.
- The Sabres have a 41-44-6 O/U record this season, including playoffs (meaning 41 games have gone over the total points line, 44 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Canadiens have a 46-40-6 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Sabres averaged 3.45 goals per game during the regular season (5th in the NHL), while the Canadiens averaged 3.40 (7th). More recently, the Sabres are averaging 3.00 goals in these playoffs and the Canadiens have managed 2.90.
- Defensively, the Sabres allowed 2.93 goals per game during the regular season (T10th in the NHL). Meanwhile, the Canadiens gave up 3.06 (T16th). During the playoffs, the Sabres have given up 2.78 per contest, while the Canadiens are allowing 2.20.
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, the Sabres are averaging 29.2 shots per game during the postseason, up 1.1 from their regular season number of 28.1. Alternatively, the Canadiens are allowing 26.9 shots per game throughout these playoffs, an increase of 0.9 from their regular season average of 27.8.
- Flipping that script, the Sabres are allowing 27.1 shots per game in the playoffs, down 29.1 from their regular season average. Meanwhile, the Canadiens are recording 24.9 shots per contest during the postseason, which is an increase of 1.4 from their regular season number of 26.3.
Power Play
- The Sabres held a power play percentage of 19.5% during the regular season, ranking 20th in the NHL. During the postseason, they hold a percentage of 11.1%. Comparatively, the Canadiens ranked 10th with 23.1% of their power play opportunities converted into goals in the regular season. In these playoffs they hold a percentage of 20.5%.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Sabres had a penalty kill rate of 81.9% during the regular season (4th) and have a kill rate of 82.8% in the postseason. Alternatively, the Canadiens had a penalty kill rate of 78.2% in the regular season (18th) and 80.5% in the playoffs.
P1 Result
Buffalo is +190 to win the first period, while Montreal is +165.
- Here are their first period records in 2025/26 (including playoffs).
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 32-28-31 | 19-14-13 | 13-14-18 | 4-2-4 |
| Montreal | 31-26-35 | 14-13-18 | 17-13-17 | 4-1-5 |
To Go To Overtime
Tuesday's matchup is +275 to go to overtime.
- The Sabres have played in 18 games that have gone to overtime this season (including playoffs), while the Canadiens have appeared in 28.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Sabres have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout this season (including playoffs), while the Canadiens have appeared in 9.
Last Time They Met
The Canadiens recorded a lopsided 6-2 victory against the Sabres at Bell Centre on Sunday. The Canadiens now hold a 2-1 series lead. Alex Newhook led the way to that result, scoring 2 goals.
