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NHL Prop Bets: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders (September 30, 2026)

The New York Islanders (0-0-0) face the Toronto Maple Leafs (0-1-0) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup.

  • The Islanders had a 42-40 Puck Line record last season, while the Maple Leafs held a record of 35-47.

The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -135 and UNDER at +114.

  • The Islanders had a 38-42-2 O/U record last season (meaning 38 games went over the total points line, 42 went under and two resulted in a push). The Maple Leafs had a 45-31-6 O/U record last season.

Goals For Insights

  • The Islanders scored 2.79 goals per game last season (T25th in the league). Comparatively, the Maple Leafs averaged 3.07 (16th).
  • Defensively, the Islanders allowed only 2.88 goals per game last season (T5th in the league), while the Maple Leafs gave up an average of 3.60 goals (31st).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, NY Islanders averaged 28.2 shots per game last season (12th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Toronto allowed its opposition 32.4 shots per game (32nd).
  • Flipping that script, the Islanders allowed 27.7 shots per game (14th in the NHL), while the Maple Leafs averaged 26.3 shots (23rd).

Power Play

  • NY Islanders held a power play percentage of 16.5% last season, ranking 30th in the league, while Toronto sat 15th with 21.3% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Islanders had a penalty kill rate of 80.8% (ranked 10th), compared to the Maple Leafs at 81.2% (8th).

P1 Result

NY Islanders is +195 to win the first period, while Toronto is +165.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    NY Islanders 27-32-23 14-16-11 13-16-12
    Toronto 24-30-28 15-15-11 9-15-17

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +275 to go to overtime.

  • The Islanders played in 19 games that went to overtime last season, while the Maple Leafs appeared in 23.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Islanders played in 9 games that went to a shootout last season, while the Maple Leafs appeared in 5.

Last Time They Met

NY Islanders recorded a 5-3 victory over Toronto at UBS Arena when these teams last met on April 9, 2026. Calum Ritchie led the way to that result, recording 1 goal and 1 assist. The Islanders have now won three straight against the Maple Leafs.