NHL Prop Bets: New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning (October 1, 2026)
The Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0) face the New York Rangers (0-1-0) at Madison Square Garden. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup.
- The Lightning had a 38-51 Puck Line record last season, while the Rangers held a record of 43-39.
The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -125 and UNDER at +105.
- The Lightning had a 41-42-6 O/U record last season (meaning 41 games went over the total points line, 42 went under and six resulted in a push). The Rangers had a 35-44-3 O/U record last season.
Goals For Insights
- The Lightning averaged 3.49 goals per game last season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Rangers averaged only 2.87 (23rd).
- Defensively, the Lightning allowed only 2.79 goals per game last season (3rd in the league), while the Rangers gave up an average of 3.04 goals (15th).
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay averaged 28.1 shots per game last season (T14th in the NHL). Meanwhile, NY Rangers allowed its opposition 28.8 shots per game (21st).
- Flipping that script, the Lightning allowed only 26.7 shots per game (T8th in the NHL), while the Rangers averaged just 25.2 shots (31st).
Power Play
- Tampa Bay held a power play percentage of 20.7% last season, ranking 17th in the league, while NY Rangers sat 5th with 24.7% of its power play opportunities converted.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Lightning had a penalty kill rate of 82.6% (ranked 3rd), compared to the Rangers at 79.9% (15th).
P1 Result
Tampa Bay is +160 to win the first period, while NY Rangers is +205.
- Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 30-32-27 | 13-18-14 | 17-14-13 | |
| NY Rangers | 23-32-27 | 8-19-14 | 15-13-13 |
To Go To Overtime
Thursday's matchup is +265 to go to overtime.
- The Lightning played in 20 games that went to overtime last season, while the Rangers appeared in 18.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Lightning played in 6 games that went to a shootout last season, while the Rangers appeared in 4.
Last Time They Met
NY Rangers recorded a 2-4 victory over Tampa Bay at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on April 15, 2026. Tye Kartye led the way to that result, recording 2 goals and 1 assist.
