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NHL Prop Bets: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators (October 3, 2026)

The Ottawa Senators (0-0-0) face the Toronto Maple Leafs (1-1-0) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup.

  • The Senators had a 41-45 Puck Line record last season, while the Maple Leafs held a record of 35-47.
  • The Senators had a 42-41-3 O/U record last season (meaning 42 games went over the total points line, 41 went under and three resulted in a push). The Maple Leafs had a 45-31-6 O/U record last season.

Goals For Insights

  • The Senators scored 3.35 goals per game last season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Maple Leafs averaged 3.07 (16th).
  • Defensively, the Senators allowed 2.99 goals per game last season (13th in the league), while the Maple Leafs gave up an average of 3.60 goals (31st).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Ottawa averaged 28.9 shots per game last season (9th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Toronto was at the opposite end of the spectrum while defending, allowing its opposition 32.4 shots per game (32nd).
  • Flipping that script, the Senators allowed 24.4 shots per game (3rd in the NHL), while the Maple Leafs averaged 26.3 shots (23rd).

Power Play

  • Ottawa held a power play percentage of 24.0% last season, ranking 8th in the league, while Toronto sat 15th with 21.3% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Senators had a penalty kill rate of just 75.7% (ranked 29th), compared to the Maple Leafs at 81.2% (8th).

P1 Result

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Ottawa 30-24-32 13-12-18 17-12-14
    Toronto 24-30-28 15-15-11 9-15-17

To Go To Overtime

  • The Senators played in 18 games that went to overtime last season, while the Maple Leafs appeared in 23.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Senators played in 4 games that went to a shootout last season, while the Maple Leafs appeared in 5.

Last Time They Met

Ottawa recorded a 3-1 victory over Toronto at Canadian Tire Centre when these teams last met on April 15, 2026. Claude Giroux led the way to that result, recording 2 assists. The Senators have now won three straight against the Maple Leafs.