NHL Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers (October 5, 2026)
The Philadelphia Flyers (0-1-2) face the Tampa Bay Lightning (1-1-0) at Benchmark International Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Monday's matchup.
- The Flyers have a 60-35 Puck Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Lightning hold a record of 39-52 across the same span.
The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -122 and UNDER at +102.
- The Flyers have a 40-49-6 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 40 games have gone over the total points line, 49 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Lightning have a 42-43-6 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Flyers have scored 2.87 goals per game since the beginning of last season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Lightning have averaged +0.6 more at 3.45 goals over the same span (T5th).
- Defensively, the Flyers have allowed 2.96 goals per game since the beginning of last season (11th in the league), while the Lightning have given up an average of 2.80 goals over that span (3rd).
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, Philadelphia is averaging 25.3 shots per game since the beginning of last season (30th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is allowing its opposition 26.6 shots per game (9th).
- Flipping that script, the Flyers have allowed 26.0 shots per game (5th in the NHL), while the Lightning are averaging 28.1 shots (15th).
Power Play
- Philadelphia holds a power play percentage of 15.2%, ranking 32nd in the league since the beginning of last season, while Tampa Bay sits 18th with 19.9% of its power play opportunities converted.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Flyers have a penalty kill rate of 77.0% (ranked 23rd), compared to the Lightning at 82.4% (3rd).
P1 Result
Philadelphia is +245 to win the first period, while Tampa Bay is +140.
- Here are their first period records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 28-37-30 | 12-20-16 | 16-17-14 | |
| Tampa Bay | 31-33-27 | 14-18-14 | 17-15-13 |
To Go To Overtime
Monday's matchup is +290 to go to overtime.
- The Flyers have played in 33 games that have gone to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Lightning have appeared in 20.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Flyers have played in 14 games that have gone to a shootout since the beginning of last season, while the Lightning have appeared in 6.
Last Time They Met
Tampa Bay recorded a 1-5 beatdown over Philadelphia at Xfinity Mobile Arena when these teams last met on January 12, 2026. Nikita Kucherov led the way to that result, recording 1 goal and 1 assist. The Lightning have now won four straight against the Flyers.
