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NHL Prop Bets: Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs (October 8, 2026)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-0) face the Vegas Golden Knights (3-1-0) at T-Mobile Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup.

  • The Maple Leafs have a 36-50 Puck Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Golden Knights hold a record of 49-59 across the same span.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.

  • The Maple Leafs have a 46-34-6 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 46 games have gone over the total points line, 34 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Golden Knights have a 50-49-9 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have scored 3.06 goals per game since the beginning of last season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Golden Knights have averaged 3.27 over the same span (11th).
  • Defensively, the Maple Leafs have allowed a whopping 3.56 goals per game since the beginning of last season (31st in the league), while the Golden Knights have given up an average of 2.93 goals over that span (9th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Toronto is averaging just 26.5 shots per game since the beginning of last season (22nd in the NHL). Meanwhile, Vegas was at the opposite end of the spectrum while defending, allowing its opposition only 24.3 shots per game (2nd).
  • Flipping that script, the Maple Leafs have allowed 32.2 shots per game (32nd in the NHL), while the Golden Knights are performing better on the other end, averaging 29.1 shots (8th).

Power Play

  • Toronto holds a power play percentage of 21.3%, ranking 15th in the league since the beginning of last season, while Vegas sits 4th with 25.0% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Maple Leafs have a penalty kill rate of 81.7% (ranked 5th), compared to the Golden Knights at 81.5% (7th).

P1 Result

Toronto is +205 to win the first period, while Vegas is +150.

  • Here are their first period records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Toronto 25-32-29 16-17-12 9-15-17
    Vegas 28-46-34 11-25-18 17-21-16

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +300 to go to overtime.

  • The Maple Leafs have played in 24 games that have gone to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Golden Knights have appeared in 31.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Maple Leafs have played in 5 games that have gone to a shootout since the beginning of last season, while the Golden Knights have appeared in 9.

Last Time They Met

Vegas recorded a 3-6 victory over Toronto at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on January 23, 2026. Mark Stone led the way to that result, recording 2 goals and 1 assist. The Golden Knights have now won three straight against the Maple Leafs.