NHL Prop Bets: New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning (October 10, 2026)
The Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1-0) face the New York Islanders (2-2-0) at UBS Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup.
- The Lightning have a 40-53 Puck Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Islanders hold a record of 45-41 across the same span.
The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -122 and UNDER at +102.
- The Lightning have a 42-45-6 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 42 games have gone over the total points line, 45 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Islanders have a 39-44-3 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Lightning have scored 3.45 goals per game since the beginning of last season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Islanders have averaged only 2.81 over the same span (24th).
- Defensively, the Lightning have allowed just 2.77 goals per game since the beginning of last season (3rd in the league), while the Islanders have given up an average of 2.84 goals over that span (5th).
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 28.3 shots per game since the beginning of last season (12th in the NHL). Meanwhile, NY Islanders is allowing its opposition 27.7 shots per game (T15th).
- Flipping that script, the Lightning have allowed 26.6 shots per game (10th in the NHL), while the Islanders are averaging 28.0 shots (16th).
Power Play
- Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 19.8%, ranking 18th in the league since the beginning of last season, while NY Islanders sits 29th with 16.8% of its power play opportunities converted.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 82.4% (ranked 3rd), compared to the Islanders at 81.2% (9th).
P1 Result
Tampa Bay is +155 to win the first period, while NY Islanders is +215.
- Here are their first period records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 33-33-27 | 16-18-14 | 17-15-13 | |
| NY Islanders | 28-34-24 | 15-16-12 | 13-18-12 |
To Go To Overtime
Saturday's matchup is +285 to go to overtime.
- The Lightning have played in 20 games that have gone to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Islanders have appeared in 19.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Lightning have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout since the beginning of last season, while the Islanders have appeared in 9.
Last Time They Met
NY Islanders recorded a 2-3 overtime victory over Tampa Bay at UBS Arena when these teams last met on December 13, 2025. The Islanders have now won three straight against the Lightning.
