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NHL Prop Bets: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres (October 15, 2026)

The Buffalo Sabres (3-3-1) face the Toronto Maple Leafs (3-3-1) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup.

  • The Sabres have a 3-4 Puck Line record this season, while the Maple Leafs hold a record of 4-3.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Sabres have a 4-3-0 O/U record this season (meaning four games have gone over the total points line and three have gone under). The Maple Leafs also have a 4-3-0 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Sabres are averaging 2.71 goals per game this season (T21st in the league). Comparatively, the Maple Leafs are averaging +0.7 more at 3.43 goals (T9th).
  • Defensively, the Sabres are giving up 3.43 goals per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Maple Leafs are giving up an average of 3.14 goals (20th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Buffalo is averaging 25.7 shots per game this season (22nd in the NHL). Meanwhile, Toronto is allowing its opposition 29.9 shots per game (T28th).
  • Flipping that script, the Sabres are allowing 23.6 shots per game (4th in the NHL), while the Maple Leafs are averaging 27.6 shots (14th).

Power Play

  • Buffalo holds a lowly power play percentage of 11.1% this season, ranking 29th in the league. Comparitively, Toronto sits 5th with 29.2% of its power play opportunities converted into goals.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Sabres have a penalty kill rate of just 60.9% (ranked 30th), compared to the Maple Leafs at 95.8% (1st).

P1 Result

Buffalo is +185 to win the first period, while Toronto is +170.

  • Here are their first period records in 2026/27.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Buffalo 1-3-3 1-2-2 0-1-1 2-5-3
    Toronto 2-4-1 1-2-1 1-2-0 3-6-1

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +280 to go to overtime.

  • The Sabres have played in 21 games that have gone to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Maple Leafs have appeared in 25.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Sabres have played in 7 games that have gone to a shootout since the beginning of last season, while the Maple Leafs have appeared in 6.

Last Time They Met

Buffalo recorded a 3-2 overtime victory over Toronto at KeyBank Center when these teams last met on March 14, 2026.