

NHL Prop Bets: Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning (October 23, 2026)
The Tampa Bay Lightning (7-2-0) face the Colorado Avalanche (5-4-1) at Ball Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Avalanche are favored to win at -125. They're currently +195 to cover the -1.5 puck line while the Lightning are -238 to cover the +1.5 puck line.
- The Lightning have a 5-4 Puck Line record this season, while the Avalanche hold a record of 6-4.
The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at +102 and UNDER at -122.
- The Lightning have a 4-5-0 O/U record this season (meaning four games have gone over the total points line and five have gone under). The Avalanche have a 6-4-0 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Lightning are averaging 3.44 goals per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Avalanche are averaging 4.10 (2nd).
- Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.56 goals per game this season (6th in the league), while the Avalanche are giving up an average of 3.00 goals (T11th).
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 29.8 shots per game this season (8th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Colorado is allowing its opposition 27.3 shots per game (17th).
- Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing 24.2 shots per game (4th in the NHL), while the Avalanche are averaging 30.6 shots (4th).
Power Play
- Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 12.9%, ranking 28th in the league this season, while Colorado sits 23rd with 18.8% of its power play opportunities converted.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 79.2% (ranked 17th), compared to the Avalanche at 82.6% (T11th).
P1 Result
Tampa Bay is +180 to win the first period, while Colorado is +175.
- Here are their first period records in 2026/27.
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 4-3-2 | 3-1-1 | 1-2-1 | 4-4-2 |
| Colorado | 3-2-5 | 3-1-1 | 0-1-4 | 3-2-5 |
To Go To Overtime
Friday's matchup is +280 to go to overtime.
- The Lightning have played in 21 games that have gone to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Avalanche have also appeared in 21.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Lightning have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout since the beginning of last season, while the Avalanche have appeared in 11.
Last Time They Met
Tampa Bay recorded a 4-2 victory over Colorado at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on January 6, 2026. The Lightning have now won four straight at Benchmark International Arena against the Avalanche.

