The Sydney Swans (18-5) face the Brisbane Lions (16-7) at the SCG. Let's take a look at the betting lines for Saturday's AFL Qualifying Final. The Lions are favored to win at -370, currently marked as 23.5-point favorites, while the Swans are at +275. The total points line is set at 190.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 107-84 Brisbane.
- The Swans (-115) have a 13-10 Line record this season, while the Lions (-115) hold a record of 12-11.
- The Swans have a 14-9 O/U record this season (meaning 14 games have gone over the total points line and nine have gone under). The Lions have a 16-7 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Swans are averaging 110.6 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Lions are averaging 108.7 (2nd).
- Defensively, the Swans are giving up only 81.3 points per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Lions are giving up an average of 89.3 points (11th).
First Quarter Winner
- Here are their first quarter records in 2026.
| | Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | At the SCG | Last 5 |
|---|
| Sydney | 12-11-0 | 6-6-0 | 6-5-0 | 9-10-0 | 3-1-0 | 5-6-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Brisbane | 12-8-3 | 7-2-2 | 5-6-1 | 10-7-3 | 2-1-0 | 0-1-0 | 3-1-1 |
First Half Winner
- Here are their first half records in 2026.
| | Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | At the SCG | Last 5 |
|---|
| Sydney | 14-9-0 | 8-4-0 | 6-5-0 | 12-7-0 | 2-2-0 | 7-4-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Brisbane | 15-8-0 | 9-2-0 | 6-6-0 | 13-7-0 | 2-1-0 | 0-1-0 | 4-1-0 |
HT/FT
- The Swans have completed the HT/FT double in 52.2% of games this season, while the Lions have completed the HT/FT double in 56.5% of games.
Margin Betting
- Here are the Swans' Margin Betting records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|
| W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
- These are the Lions' Margin Betting records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|
| W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ | W1-39 | W40+ | L1-39 | L40+ |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Tribet
- Here is the Swans' Tribet record in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|
| Swans -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Swans -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Swans -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Swans -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Swans -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 |
| 14 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
- These are the Lions' Tribet records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|
| Lions -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Lions -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Lions -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Lions -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 | Lions -15.5 | 15 or less | Opponent -15.5 |
| 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Disposals
- Looking at their disposal averages in 2026, Sydney has accumulated 387.0 per game, while Brisbane has conceded 356.4.
- Conversely, Brisbane has averaged 374.1 per contest, while Sydney has conceded 366.7.
