MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates (March 28, 2026)
The Pittsburgh Pirates (0-1) face the New York Mets (1-0) at Citi Field on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Mitch Keller is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while David Peterson is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -171, while the Pirates are at +141. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.
- The Pirates (-156) have an 89-74 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Mets (+129) hold a record of 78-85 across the same span.
- The Pirates have a 63-93-7 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 63 games have gone over the total runs line, 93 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 77-78-8 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Pirates have scored 3.6 runs per game since the beginning of last season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets have averaged 4.8 over the same span (9th).
- In the field, the Pirates have allowed 4.0 runs per game since the beginning of last season (7th in the league), while the Mets have allowed an average of 4.4 runs over that span (18th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Pirates are at .232 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .249 (12th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Mets are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 226 to rank 5th. Alternatively, the Pirates are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 120 (30th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 568 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 757 RBIs to rank 8th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 4.05 since the beginning of last season (18th in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 3.81 (8th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 1324 since the beginning of last season, ranking 21st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 12th for total strikeouts, recording 1397.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .246 against the Mets since the beginning of last season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .236 (8th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 34-31-98 | 19-15-47 | 15-16-51 | 12-4-31 | 22-27-67 | 0-0-0 |
| Mets | 44-28-91 | 26-12-43 | 18-16-47 | 35-20-62 | 9-8-29 | 0-0-1 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 60-50-53 | 37-24-20 | 23-26-33 | 21-13-13 | 39-37-40 | 0-0-0 |
| Mets | 71-57-35 | 38-27-16 | 32-30-19 | 49-41-27 | 22-16-8 | 1-0-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 91-72 in Pirates games since the beginning of last season. The Mets have an 88-75 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded an 11-7 victory over the Pirates at Citi Field on Thursday. Brandon Lowe was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 3 RBIs. That result snapped the Pirates' four-game winning streak against the Mets.
