MLB Prop Bets: Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers (March 28, 2026)
The Texas Rangers (0-1) face the Philadelphia Phillies (1-0) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday at 4:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jacob deGrom is the probable pitcher for the Rangers, while Aaron Nola is the probable pitcher for the Phillies. The Phillies are favored to win at -120, while the Rangers are at +100. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -119 and UNDER at -101.
- The Rangers (+162) have an 86-77 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Phillies (-197) hold a record of 90-77 across the same span.
- The Rangers have a 71-88-4 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 71 games have gone over the total runs line, 88 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Phillies have a 74-83-10 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Rangers have scored 4.2 runs per game since the beginning of last season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Phillies have averaged 4.8 over the same span (8th).
- In the field, the Rangers have allowed just 3.7 runs per game since the beginning of last season (1st in the league), while the Phillies have allowed an average of 4.0 runs over that span (5th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Phillies are at an impressive .259 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Rangers are batting an underwhelming .234 (25th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Phillies have hit 214 (9th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rangers have managed 176 (18th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rangers have recorded 661 RBIs to rank 21st in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Phillies have recorded 758 RBIs to rank 7th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.79 since the beginning of last season (7th in the Majors), while The Rangers have an ERA of 3.49 (1st).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rangers have recorded 1354 since the beginning of last season, ranking 19th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Phillies rank 3rd for total strikeouts, recording 1482.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .244 against the Phillies since the beginning of last season (17th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rangers' opponents are at .230 (4th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | 35-32-96 | 15-15-51 | 20-17-45 | 21-14-46 | 14-18-50 | 0-0-0 |
| Phillies | 49-27-91 | 31-11-42 | 18-16-49 | 42-18-67 | 7-9-24 | 0-0-0 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | 77-54-32 | 42-21-18 | 35-33-14 | 43-24-14 | 34-30-18 | 0-0-0 |
| Phillies | 61-54-52 | 41-20-23 | 20-34-29 | 53-36-38 | 8-18-14 | 0-0-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 90-73 in Rangers games since the beginning of last season. The Phillies have an 86-81 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Phillies recorded an upset 5-3 victory over the Rangers at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. Jake Burger dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs. The Phillies have now won seven straight against the Rangers.
