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MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins (March 28, 2026)

The Minnesota Twins (0-1) face the Baltimore Orioles (1-0) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday at 4:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Taj Bradley is the probable pitcher for the Twins, while Kyle Bradish is the probable pitcher for the Orioles. The Orioles are favored to win at -163, while the Twins are at +135. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Twins (-171) have a 77-86 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Orioles (+141) hold a record of 78-85 across the same span.
  • The Twins have a 73-81-9 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 73 games have gone over the total runs line, 81 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Orioles have a 66-90-7 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Twins have scored 4.2 runs per game since the beginning of last season (T23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Orioles have averaged 4.2 over the same span (T23rd).
  • In the field, the Twins have allowed 4.8 runs per game since the beginning of last season (23rd in the league), while the Orioles have allowed an average of 4.8 runs over that span (24th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Twins are at .238 (ranking 22nd in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting .235 (24th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Orioles have hit 191 (T12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Twins have managed 191 (T12th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have recorded 644 RBIs to rank 25th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Orioles have recorded 645 RBIs to rank 24th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.58 since the beginning of last season (26th in the Majors), while The Twins have an ERA of 4.54 (24th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Twins have recorded 1380 since the beginning of last season, ranking 15th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank 18th for total strikeouts, recording 1360.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .259 against the Orioles since the beginning of last season (27th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Twins' opponents are at .256 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Twins 36-46-81 17-17-47 19-29-34 22-23-44 14-23-37 0-0-0
    Orioles 29-47-87 16-21-45 13-26-42 17-20-33 12-27-54 0-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Twins 55-71-37 32-30-19 23-41-18 31-37-21 24-34-16 0-0-0
    Orioles 59-66-38 33-28-21 26-38-17 31-22-17 28-44-21 0-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 77-86 in Twins games since the beginning of last season. The Orioles have an 81-82 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded a 2-1 victory over the Twins at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Byron Buxton did what he could, hitting a home run. That result snapped the Twins' six-game winning streak against the Orioles.