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MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox (March 28, 2026)

The Boston Red Sox (1-0) face the Cincinnati Reds (0-1) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sonny Gray is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while Brady Singer is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Red Sox are favored to win at -156, while the Reds are at +129. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Red Sox (+109) have an 86-80 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Reds (-131) hold a record of 81-84 across the same span.
  • The Red Sox have a 76-86-4 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 76 games have gone over the total runs line, 86 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 61-94-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Red Sox have scored 4.8 runs per game since the beginning of last season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds have averaged 4.4 over the same span (15th).
  • In the field, the Red Sox have allowed 4.1 runs per game since the beginning of last season (10th in the league), while the Reds have allowed an average of 4.2 runs over that span (12th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Red Sox are at .255 (ranking 4th in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .244 (19th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Reds have hit 167 (T22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Red Sox have managed 186 (15th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 751 RBIs to rank 9th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 677 RBIs to rank 16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Reds have an earned run average of 3.86 since the beginning of last season (11th in the Majors), while The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.68 (4th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 1373 since the beginning of last season, ranking 17th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 14th for total strikeouts, recording 1387.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Reds since the beginning of last season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Red Sox's opponents are at .242 (16th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Red Sox 42-42-82 21-18-42 21-24-40 28-22-55 14-20-27 0-0-0
    Reds 42-34-89 27-11-43 14-23-46 22-14-37 20-20-52 1-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Red Sox 65-59-42 37-23-21 28-36-21 48-31-26 17-28-16 0-0-0
    Reds 57-60-48 34-24-23 23-35-25 24-22-27 33-38-21 0-1-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.

  • The NRFI is 78-88 in Red Sox games since the beginning of last season. The Reds have an 85-80 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Red Sox recorded a 3-0 victory over the Reds at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. Jarren Duran went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Red Sox have now won three straight at Great American Ball Park against the Reds.