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MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates (March 30, 2026)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (1-2) face the Cincinnati Reds (2-1) at Great American Ball Park on Monday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Braxton Ashcraft is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Chase Burns is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Reds are favored to win at -126, while the Pirates are at +104. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Pirates (-194) have a 90-75 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Reds (+159) hold a record of 83-84 across the same span.
  • The Pirates have a 63-95-7 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 63 games have gone over the total runs line, 95 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 62-95-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates have scored 3.6 runs per game since the beginning of last season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds have averaged 4.4 over the same span (15th).
  • In the field, the Pirates have allowed just 4.0 runs per game since the beginning of last season (5th in the league), while the Reds have allowed an average of 4.2 runs over that span (T12th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Pirates are at .232 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .244 (19th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Reds have hit 170 (T22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 121 (30th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 574 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 686 RBIs to rank 16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Reds have an earned run average of 3.85 since the beginning of last season (13th in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 3.78 (7th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 1348 since the beginning of last season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 13th for total strikeouts, recording 1409.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Reds since the beginning of last season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .236 (8th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Pirates 35-31-99 19-15-47 16-16-52 12-4-31 23-27-68 0-0-0
    Reds 43-34-90 28-11-44 14-23-46 22-14-37 21-20-53 1-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Pirates 61-50-54 37-24-20 24-26-34 21-13-13 40-37-41 0-0-0
    Reds 58-60-49 35-24-24 23-35-25 24-22-27 34-38-22 0-1-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +110.

  • The NRFI is 92-73 in Pirates games since the beginning of last season. The Reds have an 86-81 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Reds recorded an upset 2-1 victory over the Pirates at Great American Ball Park when these teams last met on September 25, 2025. TJ Friedl led the way to that victory, hitting a home run.