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MLB Prop Bets: St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets (March 30, 2026)

The New York Mets (2-1) face the St. Louis Cardinals (2-1) at Busch Stadium on Monday at 7:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Clay Holmes is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Kyle Leahy is the probable pitcher for the Cardinals. The Mets are favored to win at -156, while the Cardinals are at +129. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -120 and UNDER at +100.

  • The Mets (+109) have a 79-86 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Cardinals (-131) hold a record of 81-84 across the same span.
  • The Mets have a 77-80-8 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 77 games have gone over the total runs line, 80 have gone under and eight have resulted in a push). The Cardinals have an 84-73-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets have scored 4.8 runs per game since the beginning of last season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Cardinals have averaged 4.3 over the same span (17th).
  • In the field, the Mets have allowed 4.4 runs per game since the beginning of last season (18th in the league), while the Cardinals have allowed an average of 4.7 runs over that span (22nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Mets are at .249 (ranking 13th in the Major leagues), while the Cardinals are batting .246 (17th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Mets are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 227 to rank 6th. Alternatively, the Cardinals are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 153 (T28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 764 RBIs to rank 8th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Cardinals have recorded 674 RBIs to rank T17th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Cardinals have an earned run average of 4.34 since the beginning of last season (21st in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.01 (18th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 1418 since the beginning of last season, ranking 12th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Cardinals rank 29th for total strikeouts, recording 1228.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .261 against the Cardinals since the beginning of last season (28th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .246 (18th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Mets 44-29-92 26-13-44 18-16-47 35-21-63 9-8-29 0-0-1
    Cardinals 31-51-83 13-28-43 18-23-40 10-22-32 21-29-51 0-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Mets 71-58-36 38-28-17 32-30-19 49-42-28 22-16-8 1-0-0
    Cardinals 57-62-46 31-28-25 26-34-21 26-25-13 31-37-33 0-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 89-76 in Mets games since the beginning of last season. The Cardinals have an 82-83 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Cardinals recorded a 5-4 victory over the Mets at Busch Stadium when these teams last met on May 4, 2025. Alec Burleson went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.