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MLB Prop Bets: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals (March 31, 2026)

The Washington Nationals (3-1) face the Philadelphia Phillies (1-3) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. PJ Poulin is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Andrew Painter is the probable pitcher for the Phillies. The Phillies are favored to win at -186, while the Nationals are at +153. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.

  • The Nationals (-131) have an 81-85 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Phillies (+109) hold a record of 90-80 across the same span.
  • The Nationals have an 85-71-10 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 85 games have gone over the total runs line, 71 have gone under and 10 have resulted in a push). The Phillies have a 77-83-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nationals have scored 4.3 runs per game since the beginning of last season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Phillies have averaged 4.8 over the same span (8th).
  • In the field, the Nationals have allowed a whopping 5.5 runs per game since the beginning of last season (29th in the league), while the Phillies have allowed an average of 4.1 runs over that span (8th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Nationals are at .244 (ranking 20th in the Major leagues), while the Phillies are batting .257 (3rd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Phillies have hit 215 (9th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 167 (24th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 686 RBIs to rank 17th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Phillies have recorded 767 RBIs to rank 8th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.86 since the beginning of last season (13th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 5.32 (29th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded an impressive 1511 since the beginning of last season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Nationals rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording only 1283.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .246 against the Phillies since the beginning of last season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .267 (29th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Nationals 36-46-84 15-24-42 21-22-42 3-5-13 33-41-71 0-0-0
    Phillies 49-29-92 31-13-43 18-16-49 42-20-68 7-9-24 0-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

The Nationals are +120 to lead after three innings, while the Phillies are -154.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Nationals 55-74-37 27-34-20 28-40-17 5-6-10 50-68-27 0-0-0
    Phillies 61-57-52 41-23-23 20-34-29 53-39-38 8-18-14 0-0-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.

  • The NRFI is 80-86 in Nationals games since the beginning of last season. The Phillies have an 87-83 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Nationals recorded a lopsided 13-2 victory against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park yesterday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Rafael Marchan went yard in that matchup, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.