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MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates (March 31, 2026)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (1-3) face the Cincinnati Reds (3-1) at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Bubba Chandler is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Brandon Williamson is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Pirates are favored to win at -118, while the Reds are at -102. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -103 and UNDER at -116.

  • The Pirates (+135) have a 90-76 Run Line record since the beginning of last season, while the Reds (-163) hold a record of 84-84 across the same span.
  • The Pirates have a 63-96-7 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 63 games have gone over the total runs line, 96 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 62-96-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates have scored 3.6 runs per game since the beginning of last season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds have averaged 4.4 over the same span (15th).
  • In the field, the Pirates have allowed just 4.0 runs per game since the beginning of last season (5th in the league), while the Reds have allowed an average of 4.2 runs over that span (11th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages since the beginning of last season, the Pirates are at .231 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .244 (21st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs since the beginning of last season, the Reds have hit 170 (23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 121 (30th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 574 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 688 RBIs to rank 16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Reds have an earned run average of 3.82 since the beginning of last season (11th in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 3.77 (7th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 1355 since the beginning of last season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 13th for total strikeouts, recording 1420.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .233 against the Reds since the beginning of last season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .236 (8th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Pirates 35-31-100 19-15-47 16-16-53 12-4-31 23-27-69 0-0-0
    Reds 43-34-91 28-11-45 14-23-46 22-14-38 21-20-53 1-0-0

Lead After Three Innings

The Pirates are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Reds are -115.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings since the beginning of last season.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Pirates 61-50-55 37-24-20 24-26-35 21-13-13 40-37-42 0-0-0
    Reds 58-60-50 35-24-25 23-35-25 24-22-28 34-38-22 0-1-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 93-73 in Pirates games since the beginning of last season. The Reds have an 87-81 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Reds recorded a 2-0 victory over the Pirates at Great American Ball Park yesterday. Will Benson went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.