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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox (April 14, 2026)

The Boston Red Sox (6-10) face the Minnesota Twins (10-7) at Target Field on Tuesday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sonny Gray is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while Mick Abel is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Red Sox are favored to win at -136, while the Twins are at +113. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Red Sox (+123) have a 5-11 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-149) hold a record of 11-6.
  • The Red Sox have a 9-7-0 O/U record this season (meaning nine games have gone over the total runs line and seven have gone under). The Twins have a 9-7-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Red Sox are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +1.2 more at 5.4 runs (5th).
  • In the field, the Red Sox are allowing 4.7 runs per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (19th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Red Sox are at .235 (ranking 15th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .230 (18th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 21 to rank T2nd. Alternatively, the Red Sox are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 11 (29th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 66 RBIs to rank T16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 87 RBIs to rank 5th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.29 this season (20th in the Majors), while The Red Sox have an ERA of 4.39 (22nd).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 127 this season, ranking 24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank T17th for total strikeouts, recording 135.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .258 against the Twins this season (25th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Red Sox's opponents are at .240 (19th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 2-5-9 1-0-5 1-5-4 1-4-9 1-1-0 0-0-0 2-1-7
    Twins 3-3-11 2-1-5 1-2-6 0-0-2 3-3-9 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

The Red Sox are -125 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are -105.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 5-6-5 4-1-1 1-5-4 4-5-5 1-1-0 0-0-0 5-3-2
    Twins 9-5-3 4-2-2 5-3-1 1-1-0 8-4-3 0-0-0 7-1-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.

  • The NRFI is 9-7 in Red Sox games this season. The Twins have an 11-6 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded a 13-6 victory over the Red Sox at Target Field yesterday. Ryan Jeffers dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 3 RBIs.