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MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins (April 15, 2026)

The Miami Marlins (9-9) face the Atlanta Braves (11-7) at Truist Park on Wednesday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Chris Paddack is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Bryce Elder is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -171, while the Marlins are at +141. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Marlins (-149) have a 7-11 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+123) hold a record of 11-7.
  • The Marlins have a 12-5-1 O/U record this season (meaning 12 games have gone over the total runs line, five have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Braves have a 9-8-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging 5.6 (4th).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.3 runs (1st).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .260 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .274 (2nd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 21 to rank 4th. Alternatively, the Marlins are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 13 (T25th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 83 RBIs to rank T8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 97 RBIs to rank 1st.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have an earned run average of 2.93 this season (1st in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.01 (16th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 158 this season, ranking T9th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank T18th for total strikeouts, recording 143.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .214 against the Braves this season (2nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .216 (3rd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 4-5-9 2-1-7 2-4-2 2-1-7 2-4-2 0-0-0 2-3-5
    Braves 5-3-10 3-2-6 2-1-4 5-3-9 0-0-1 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 6-8-4 4-3-3 2-5-1 4-3-3 2-5-1 0-0-0 3-4-3
    Braves 7-6-5 5-4-2 2-2-3 7-5-5 0-1-0 0-0-0 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying +105 and the YRFI is paying -140.

  • The NRFI is 8-10 in Marlins games this season. The Braves also have an 8-10 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded an upset 6-5 victory over the Marlins at Truist Park yesterday. Dominic Smith went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 4 RBIs.