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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds (April 17, 2026)

The Cincinnati Reds (11-8) face the Minnesota Twins (11-8) at Target Field on Friday at 8:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Brandon Williamson is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Joe Ryan is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are favored to win at -175, while the Reds are at +144. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Reds (-149) have a 10-9 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (+123) hold a record of 12-7.
  • The Reds have a 10-9-0 O/U record this season (meaning 10 games have gone over the total runs line and nine have gone under). The Twins have a 10-8-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Reds are averaging 3.4 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +2.1 more at 5.4 runs (4th).
  • In the field, the Reds are allowing 4.1 runs per game this season (9th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (T18th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Reds are at .200 (ranking 29th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .232 (19th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 26 (3rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Reds have managed 21 (T7th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have been outstanding this season, recording 98 RBIs to rank 5th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Reds have performed poorly in this area, recording only 56 RBIs to rank 28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.26 this season (20th in the Majors), while The Reds have an ERA of 3.61 (7th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 149 this season, ranking 22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 154.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .259 against the Twins this season (26th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds' opponents are at .230 (10th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Reds 4-3-12 3-2-7 1-1-5 1-0-4 3-3-8 0-0-0 2-2-6
    Twins 5-3-11 4-1-5 1-2-6 0-0-2 5-3-9 0-0-0 5-2-3

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Reds 5-6-8 4-4-4 1-2-4 2-1-2 3-5-6 0-0-0 3-4-3
    Twins 10-6-3 5-3-2 5-3-1 1-1-0 9-5-3 0-0-0 7-1-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 11-8 in Reds games this season. The Twins also have an 11-8 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded a 12-5 victory over the Reds at Great American Ball Park when these teams last met on June 19, 2025. Byron Buxton was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs, a double and recording 2 RBIs.