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MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals (April 30, 2026)

The Washington Nationals (14-17) face the New York Mets (10-20) at Citi Field on Thursday at 1:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Miles Mikolas is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Freddy Peralta is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -219, while the Nationals are at +179. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Nationals (-118) have an 18-13 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (-102) hold a record of 10-20.
  • The Nationals have a 20-10-1 O/U record this season (meaning 20 games have gone over the total runs line, 10 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Mets have a 12-16-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nationals are averaging 5.5 runs per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 3.4 (29th).
  • In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.8 runs per game this season (29th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (18th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .244 (ranking 13th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .227 (27th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 23 (T26th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 36 (T10th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have been outstanding this season, recording 157 RBIs to rank 3rd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Mets have performed poorly in this area, recording only 95 RBIs to rank 29th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 4.21 this season (17th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 5.11 (29th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 245 this season, ranking 23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 5th for total strikeouts, recording 280.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Mets this season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .263 (26th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 12-6-13 7-2-4 5-4-9 0-1-0 12-5-13 0-0-0 5-1-4
    Mets 8-6-16 7-3-7 1-3-9 8-4-10 0-2-6 0-0-0 3-1-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 11-13-7 6-5-2 5-8-5 0-0-1 11-13-6 0-0-0 5-2-3
    Mets 11-12-7 8-7-2 3-5-5 9-9-4 2-3-3 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 13-18 in Nationals games this season. The Mets have a 14-16 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Nationals recorded a lopsided 14-2 victory against the Mets at Citi Field yesterday. Curtis Mead dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs.