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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (April 30, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (14-16) face the Minnesota Twins (13-18) at Target Field on Thursday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Kevin Gausman is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Bailey Ober is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -136, while the Twins are at +113. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Blue Jays (+129) have a 13-17 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-156) hold a record of 15-16.
  • The Blue Jays have a 15-15-0 O/U record this season (meaning 15 games have gone over the total runs line and 15 have gone under). The Twins have a 17-12-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.7 more at 4.7 runs (11th).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (20th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (22nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .250 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .233 (23rd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 36 (T10th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 25 (25th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 118 RBIs to rank T22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 142 RBIs to rank T9th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.42 this season (22nd in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.20 (16th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 288 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 247.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Twins this season (22nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .244 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 6-8-16 4-4-10 2-4-6 6-6-8 0-2-8 0-0-0 2-3-5
    Twins 7-6-18 6-1-9 1-5-9 2-0-3 5-6-15 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 10-11-9 7-7-4 3-4-5 8-7-5 2-4-4 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Twins 13-12-6 8-4-4 5-8-2 3-1-1 10-11-5 0-0-0 2-6-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 15-15 in Blue Jays games this season. The Twins have an 18-13 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded an 8-2 victory over the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre when these teams last met on April 12. Tristan Gray went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs.