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MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins (May 10, 2026)

The Minnesota Twins (17-23) face the Cleveland Guardians (21-20) at Progressive Field on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Andrew Morris is the probable pitcher for the Twins, while Gavin Williams is the probable pitcher for the Guardians.

  • The Twins have a 23-14-3 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total runs line, 14 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 20-21-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging only 4.1 (24th).
  • In the field, the Twins are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (T25th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (9th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Twins are at .234 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .228 (27th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 40 (19th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Twins have managed 45 (T11th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have recorded 180 RBIs to rank 9th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 161 RBIs to rank T16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.91 this season (11th in the Majors), while The Twins have an ERA of 4.64 (24th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded an impressive 377 this season, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Twins rank T26th for total strikeouts, recording only 301.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Guardians this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Twins' opponents are at .250 (21st).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Twins 10-8-22 8-1-11 2-7-11 2-1-4 8-7-18 0-0-0 3-2-5
    Guardians 9-7-25 4-3-11 5-4-14 4-5-11 5-2-14 0-0-0 2-4-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Twins 18-13-9 10-4-6 8-9-3 5-1-1 13-12-8 0-0-0 5-2-3
    Guardians 15-14-12 7-5-6 8-9-6 7-5-8 8-9-4 0-0-0 4-5-1

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 22-18 in Twins games this season. The Guardians have a 22-19 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded a 2-1 extra innings victory over the Guardians at Progressive Field yesterday. Byron Buxton was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs.