MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals (May 10, 2026)
The Washington Nationals (19-21) face the Miami Marlins (18-22) at LoanDepot Park on Sunday at 12:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Cade Cavalli is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Sandy Alcantara is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -136, while the Nationals are at +113. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.
- The Nationals (-175) have a 24-16 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (+144) hold a record of 16-24.
- The Nationals have a 25-14-1 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total runs line, 14 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 23-15-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Nationals are averaging 5.4 runs per game this season (T2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging only 4.3 (T18th).
- In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.6 runs per game this season (T29th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (T17th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .243 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .249 (10th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 32 (25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 44 (T13th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 201 RBIs to rank T2nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 161 RBIs to rank T16th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.13 this season (16th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 4.80 (27th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 301 this season, ranking T26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T15th for total strikeouts, recording 334.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .225 against the Marlins this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .256 (26th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 15-8-17 | 8-4-7 | 7-4-10 | 0-1-1 | 15-7-16 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
| Marlins | 8-10-22 | 5-5-15 | 3-5-7 | 5-4-16 | 3-6-6 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 13-17-10 | 6-9-4 | 7-8-6 | 0-0-2 | 13-17-8 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
| Marlins | 16-16-8 | 10-9-6 | 6-7-2 | 11-8-6 | 5-8-2 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 17-23 in Nationals games this season. The Marlins have a 19-21 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Marlins recorded an upset 8-7 victory over the Nationals at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Kyle Stowers was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs.
