MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles (June 4, 2026)
The Baltimore Orioles (29-33) face the Boston Red Sox (26-34) at Fenway Park on Thursday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Trevor Rogers is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Brayan Bello is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are favored to win at -118, while the Orioles are at -102. The total runs line is set at 10.0, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.
- The Orioles (+154) have a 28-34 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (-187) hold a record of 26-34.
- The Orioles have a 33-26-3 O/U record this season (meaning 33 games have gone over the total runs line, 26 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Red Sox have a 28-30-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Orioles are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging only 4.0 (24th).
- In the field, the Orioles are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (8th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .240 (ranking 17th in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .249 (6th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Red Sox have hit 45 (29th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 70 (12th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 275 RBIs to rank T8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Red Sox have recorded 231 RBIs to rank T26th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.78 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.65 (25th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 490 this season, ranking T22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 512.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .241 against the Red Sox this season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .262 (29th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 7-16-39 | 4-7-23 | 3-9-16 | 4-5-25 | 3-11-14 | 0-0-0 | 1-4-5 |
| Red Sox | 9-21-30 | 5-7-18 | 4-14-12 | 5-10-22 | 4-11-8 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 19-26-17 | 14-12-8 | 5-14-9 | 10-12-12 | 9-14-5 | 0-0-0 | 6-3-1 |
| Red Sox | 18-25-17 | 11-10-9 | 7-15-8 | 12-12-13 | 6-13-4 | 0-0-0 | 2-6-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +105 and the YRFI is paying -135.
- The NRFI is 36-26 in Orioles games this season. The Red Sox have a 28-32 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Red Sox recorded an upset 8-1 victory over the Orioles at Fenway Park yesterday. Wilyer Abreu was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 3 RBIs. That result snapped the Orioles' five-game winning streak against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
