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MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs (June 25, 2026)

The Chicago Cubs (43-37) face the New York Mets (34-46) at Citi Field on Thursday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Matthew Boyd is the probable pitcher for the Cubs, while Freddy Peralta is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -114, while the Cubs are at -105. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -111.

  • The Cubs (+158) have a 33-47 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (-193) hold a record of 32-48.
  • The Cubs have a 42-36-2 O/U record this season (meaning 42 games have gone over the total runs line, 36 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 37-37-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Cubs are averaging 4.9 runs per game this season (6th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 4.1 (25th).
  • In the field, the Cubs are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (15th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.6 runs (18th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Cubs are at .244 (ranking 16th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .231 (27th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 90 (16th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Cubs have managed 95 (14th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Cubs have recorded 367 RBIs to rank 9th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 311 RBIs to rank 25th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 4.22 this season (16th in the Majors), while The Cubs have an ERA of 4.30 (18th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Cubs have recorded 629 this season, ranking 23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 5th for total strikeouts, recording 729.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Mets this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Cubs' opponents are at .239 (13th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Cubs 15-16-49 9-8-23 6-8-26 13-8-35 2-8-14 0-0-0 4-0-6
    Mets 19-18-43 13-7-19 6-11-24 17-11-26 2-7-17 0-0-0 2-4-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Cubs 32-25-23 20-11-9 12-14-14 27-15-14 5-10-9 0-0-0 7-1-2
    Mets 25-37-18 15-18-6 10-19-12 19-23-12 6-14-6 0-0-0 4-5-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 48-32 in Cubs games this season. The Mets have a 40-40 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Cubs recorded a 10-5 victory over the Mets at Citi Field yesterday. Pedro Ramirez went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. The Cubs have now won six straight against the Mets.