MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals (June 29, 2026)
The Washington Nationals (43-42) face the Boston Red Sox (36-46) at Fenway Park on Monday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Miles Mikolas is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Ranger Suarez is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are favored to win at -181, while the Nationals are at +149. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -111.
- The Nationals (-137) have a 54-31 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (+114) hold a record of 35-47.
- The Nationals have a 50-33-2 O/U record this season (meaning 50 games have gone over the total runs line, 33 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Red Sox have a 36-43-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Nationals are averaging 5.3 runs per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging only 4.0 (28th).
- In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (5th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .246 (ranking 13th in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .243 (16th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 112 to rank T4th. Alternatively, the Red Sox are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 71 (30th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have been outstanding this season, recording 426 RBIs to rank 1st in the MLB. Comparatively, the Red Sox have performed poorly in this area, recording only 314 RBIs to rank 29th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Red Sox have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.70 (5th in the Majors), while the Nationals are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.69 (25th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 667 this season, ranking 22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank 16th for total strikeouts, recording 693.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .241 against the Red Sox this season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .257 (27th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 25-16-44 | 14-8-20 | 11-8-24 | 4-3-5 | 21-13-39 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
| Red Sox | 14-28-40 | 8-11-22 | 6-17-18 | 9-14-27 | 5-14-13 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 35-25-25 | 19-13-10 | 16-12-15 | 8-1-3 | 27-24-22 | 0-0-0 | 5-1-4 |
| Red Sox | 27-33-22 | 15-16-10 | 12-17-12 | 18-16-16 | 9-17-6 | 0-0-0 | 5-2-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.
- The NRFI is 43-42 in Nationals games this season. The Red Sox have a 38-44 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Red Sox recorded an upset 6-4 victory over the Nationals at Nationals Park when these teams last met on July 6, 2025. Ceddanne Rafaela was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. The Red Sox have now won five straight against the Nationals.
