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MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets (June 29, 2026)

The New York Mets (35-49) face the Toronto Blue Jays (39-45) at Rogers Centre on Monday at 7:07pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sean Manaea is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Trey Yesavage is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -131, while the Mets are at +108. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -114.

  • The Mets (-194) have a 36-48 Run Line record this season, while the Blue Jays (+159) hold a record of 42-42.
  • The Mets have a 38-40-6 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total runs line, 40 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Blue Jays have a 42-39-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 (23rd).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Blue Jays are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (15th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .231 (ranking 27th in the Major leagues), while the Blue Jays are batting .248 (7th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Blue Jays have hit 86 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 93 (17th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 325 RBIs to rank 27th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Blue Jays have recorded 330 RBIs to rank 23rd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.16 this season (16th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.12 (14th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 769 this season, ranking T3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays rank 8th for total strikeouts, recording 742.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .243 against the Blue Jays this season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .233 (6th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 19-19-46 13-8-22 6-11-24 17-11-27 2-8-19 0-0-0 1-3-6
    Blue Jays 14-28-42 7-18-21 7-10-21 9-19-21 5-9-21 0-0-0 1-7-2

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 25-40-19 15-21-7 10-19-12 19-24-12 6-16-7 0-0-0 2-6-2
    Blue Jays 27-36-21 15-21-10 12-15-11 17-19-13 10-17-8 0-0-0 1-7-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 43-41 in Mets games this season. The Blue Jays have a 39-45 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded a 2-1 victory over the Blue Jays at Citi Field when these teams last met on April 6, 2025. Pete Alonso went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Mets have now won four straight against the Blue Jays.