MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates (July 3, 2026)
The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-44) face the Washington Nationals (45-43) at Nationals Park on Friday at 6:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Mitch Keller is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Foster Griffin is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Nationals are favored to win at -143, while the Pirates are at +119. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -107 and UNDER at -112.
- The Pirates (-171) have a 42-46 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (+141) hold a record of 56-32.
- The Pirates have a 49-36-3 O/U record this season (meaning 49 games have gone over the total runs line, 36 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 52-33-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Pirates are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging 5.3 (2nd).
- In the field, the Pirates are allowing 4.9 runs per game this season (21st in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.1 runs (27th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at .260 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .248 (10th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals have hit 117 (T4th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 111 (9th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 433 RBIs to rank 3rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 446 RBIs to rank T1st.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.63 this season (25th in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 4.24 (17th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 812 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 694.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .256 against the Nationals this season (27th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .237 (9th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 29-14-45 | 16-7-22 | 13-7-23 | 19-6-23 | 10-8-22 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
| Nationals | 26-18-44 | 14-8-20 | 12-10-24 | 4-3-5 | 22-15-39 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 38-31-19 | 25-10-10 | 13-21-9 | 24-14-10 | 14-17-9 | 0-0-0 | 4-6-0 |
| Nationals | 36-27-25 | 19-13-10 | 17-14-15 | 8-1-3 | 28-26-22 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +105 and the YRFI is paying -140.
- The NRFI is 43-45 in Pirates games this season. The Nationals also have a 43-45 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Nationals recorded an 8-7 extra innings victory over the Pirates at PNC Park when these teams last met on April 16. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Oneil Cruz did what he could, hitting a home run.
