MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets (July 3, 2026)
The New York Mets (36-51) face the Atlanta Braves (50-35) at Truist Park on Friday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Christian Scott is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Grant Holmes is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -120, while the Mets are at -101. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at +102 and UNDER at -122.
- The Mets (+157) have a 38-49 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (-191) hold a record of 48-37.
- The Mets have a 39-42-6 O/U record this season (meaning 39 games have gone over the total runs line, 42 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 39-38-8 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mets are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging +0.8 more at 4.7 runs (9th).
- In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (16th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (3rd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .229 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .246 (12th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 104 (13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 98 (18th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 332 RBIs to rank T28th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 392 RBIs to rank 10th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Braves have an earned run average of 3.49 this season (3rd in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.12 (13th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 793 this season, ranking 5th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 727.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .226 against the Braves this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .234 (7th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 19-21-47 | 13-8-22 | 6-13-25 | 17-11-28 | 2-10-19 | 0-0-0 | 0-3-7 |
| Braves | 22-20-43 | 13-6-22 | 9-14-21 | 19-17-28 | 3-3-15 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 25-42-20 | 15-21-7 | 10-21-13 | 19-24-13 | 6-18-7 | 0-0-0 | 1-6-3 |
| Braves | 35-30-20 | 19-12-10 | 16-18-10 | 30-19-15 | 5-11-5 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.
- The NRFI is 44-43 in Mets games this season. The Braves have a 39-46 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded an 8-1 victory over the Braves at Citi Field when these teams last met on June 14. A.J. Ewing was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs.
