MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals (July 9, 2026)
The Kansas City Royals (38-55) face the New York Mets (39-54) at Citi Field on Thursday at 1:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Michael Wacha is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Sean Manaea is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -149, while the Royals are at +123. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.
- The Royals (-164) have a 42-51 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+136) hold a record of 40-53.
- The Royals have a 45-46-2 O/U record this season (meaning 45 games have gone over the total runs line, 46 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 43-43-7 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Royals are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging 4.2 (23rd).
- In the field, the Royals are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (19th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .248 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .234 (25th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 108 (T14th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 93 (T24th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 383 RBIs to rank 19th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 369 RBIs to rank 22nd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 4.34 this season (19th in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 4.86 (28th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded an impressive 851 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Royals rank 26th for total strikeouts, recording only 709.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Mets this season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .263 (28th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 20-26-47 | 10-13-24 | 10-13-23 | 5-9-21 | 15-17-26 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Mets | 21-22-50 | 15-8-22 | 6-14-28 | 19-12-29 | 2-10-21 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 29-47-17 | 16-22-9 | 13-25-8 | 10-19-6 | 19-28-11 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
| Mets | 28-45-20 | 17-21-7 | 11-24-13 | 22-25-13 | 6-20-7 | 0-0-0 | 3-6-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.
- The NRFI is 44-49 in Royals games this season. The Mets have a 47-46 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded an upset 6-2 victory over the Royals at Citi Field yesterday. A.J. Ewing was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI.
