MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees (July 9, 2026)

The New York Yankees (50-42) face the Tampa Bay Rays (54-36) at Tropicana Field on Thursday at 1:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while the Yankees' probable pitcher remains unclear. The Rays are favored to win at -156, while the Yankees are at +129. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

• The Yankees (-163) have a 44-48 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+135) hold a record of 53-37.
• The Yankees have a 40-47-5 O/U record this season (meaning 40 games have gone over the total runs line, 47 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 39-48-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Yankees are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.5 (16th).
• In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (5th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (9th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

• Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at an impressive .257 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting an underwhelming .234 (26th).

Home Runs

• In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 132 to rank T1st. Alternatively, the Rays are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 87 (T26th).

Runs Batted In

• Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 415 RBIs to rank 9th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 387 RBIs to rank 18th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

• The Rays have an earned run average of 3.72 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Yankees have an ERA of 3.40 (2nd).

Strikeouts

• Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 801 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank T23rd for total strikeouts, recording 731.

Opponent Batting Average

• Opponents are batting an average of .232 against the Rays this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Yankees' opponents are at .228 (3rd).

First Innings Moneyline

• Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Neutral	Last 10
Yankees	27-20-45	14-11-18	13-9-27	23-16-40	4-4-5	0-0-0	0-4-6
Rays	24-17-49	13-9-24	11-8-25	17-14-28	7-3-21	0-0-0	2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

• Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Neutral	Last 10
Yankees	43-28-21	19-12-12	24-16-9	36-24-19	7-4-2	0-0-0	2-6-2
Rays	36-26-28	19-14-13	17-12-15	28-20-11	8-6-17	0-0-0	6-1-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.

• The NRFI is 43-49 in Yankees games this season. The Rays have a 45-45 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 3-0 victory over the Yankees at Tropicana Field yesterday. Yandy Diaz led the way to that victory, hitting a home run.