MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals (July 12, 2026)
The Kansas City Royals (38-58) face the Baltimore Orioles (45-51) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Seth Lugo is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Shane Baz is the probable pitcher for the Orioles. The Orioles are favored to win at -155, while the Royals are at +128. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -114.
- The Royals (-157) have a 42-54 Run Line record this season, while the Orioles (+130) hold a record of 47-49.
- The Royals have a 46-48-2 O/U record this season (meaning 46 games have gone over the total runs line, 48 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Orioles have a 50-41-5 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Royals are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Orioles are averaging 4.6 (12th).
- In the field, the Royals are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Orioles are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (22nd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .246 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting .238 (21st).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Orioles have hit 115 (T13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 97 (T23rd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 390 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Orioles have recorded 425 RBIs to rank 11th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.32 this season (20th in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 4.91 (28th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 733 this season, ranking 26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank 23rd for total strikeouts, recording 755.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Orioles this season (25th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .263 (28th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 21-26-49 | 10-13-24 | 11-13-25 | 5-9-21 | 16-17-28 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Orioles | 17-23-56 | 8-10-34 | 9-13-22 | 9-8-33 | 8-15-23 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Royals are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Orioles are -145.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 29-49-18 | 16-22-9 | 13-27-9 | 10-19-6 | 19-30-12 | 0-0-0 | 2-6-2 |
| Orioles | 33-37-26 | 21-18-13 | 12-19-13 | 16-18-16 | 17-19-10 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -120.
- The NRFI is 46-50 in Royals games this season. The Orioles have a 51-45 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Orioles recorded an upset 6-1 victory over the Royals at Oriole Park at Camden Yards yesterday. Pete Alonso was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs. The Orioles have now won three straight against the Royals.
