MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians (July 12, 2026)
The Cleveland Guardians (50-46) face the Miami Marlins (52-44) at LoanDepot Park on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Joey Cantillo is the probable pitcher for the Guardians, while Tyler Phillips is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -115, while the Guardians are at -105. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.
- The Guardians (+160) have a 45-51 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-195) hold a record of 50-46.
- The Guardians have a 45-51-0 O/U record this season (meaning 45 games have gone over the total runs line and 51 have gone under). The Marlins have a 51-43-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Guardians are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging +0.6 more at 4.6 runs (13th).
- In the field, the Guardians are allowing 4.0 runs per game this season (8th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (10th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Guardians are at .228 (ranking 29th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .254 (7th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 97 (T23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Guardians have managed 91 (27th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Guardians have recorded 363 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 420 RBIs to rank 13th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.02 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Guardians have an ERA of 3.73 (8th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded 856 this season, ranking 6th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T12th for total strikeouts, recording 809.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Marlins this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Guardians' opponents are at .237 (8th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 19-17-60 | 12-8-26 | 7-9-34 | 12-9-32 | 7-8-28 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-8 |
| Marlins | 21-20-55 | 10-8-32 | 11-12-23 | 10-6-34 | 11-14-21 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Guardians are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Marlins are -120.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 34-29-33 | 20-13-13 | 14-16-20 | 21-16-16 | 13-13-17 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Marlins | 38-34-24 | 21-13-16 | 17-21-8 | 21-12-17 | 17-22-7 | 0-0-0 | 6-1-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 57-39 in Guardians games this season. The Marlins have a 49-47 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded an upset 4-1 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Gabriel Arias led the way to that victory, hitting a home run. The Guardians have now won four straight at LoanDepot Park against the Marlins.
