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MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles (July 18, 2026)

The Baltimore Orioles (47-51) face the Houston Astros (47-52) at Daikin Park on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Trevor Rogers is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Spencer Arrighetti is the probable pitcher for the Astros. This contest is a pick'em, with both the Orioles and Astros at -110 to win. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -120 and UNDER at +100.

  • The Orioles (+153) have a 49-49 Run Line record this season, while the Astros (-186) hold a record of 49-50.
  • The Orioles have a 51-42-5 O/U record this season (meaning 51 games have gone over the total runs line, 42 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Astros have a 52-42-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Orioles are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Astros are averaging 4.6 (12th).
  • In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Astros are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (26th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Astros are batting .242 (19th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros have hit 133 (3rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 118 (13th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 435 RBIs to rank 11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Astros have recorded 430 RBIs to rank 12th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Astros have an earned run average of 4.79 this season (27th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.27 (19th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 774 this season, ranking 24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros rank T8th for total strikeouts, recording 857.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .242 against the Astros this season (16th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .252 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 17-24-57 8-10-35 9-14-22 9-8-34 8-16-23 0-0-0 2-1-7
    Astros 31-26-42 17-12-19 14-14-23 10-10-15 21-16-27 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 33-38-27 21-18-14 12-20-13 16-18-17 17-20-10 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Astros 33-42-24 18-19-11 15-23-13 11-17-7 22-25-17 0-0-0 2-5-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 52-46 in Orioles games this season. The Astros have a 39-60 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded a 3-2 victory over the Astros at Daikin Park yesterday. Taylor Ward went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.