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MLB Prop Bets: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (July 18, 2026)

The New York Mets (41-57) face the Philadelphia Phillies (54-44) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday at 4:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sean Manaea is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Jesus Luzardo is the probable pitcher for the Phillies. The Phillies are favored to win at -167, while the Mets are at +138. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -119 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Mets (-149) have a 43-55 Run Line record this season, while the Phillies (+123) hold a record of 39-59.
  • The Mets have a 45-46-7 O/U record this season (meaning 45 games have gone over the total runs line, 46 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Phillies have a 41-53-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Phillies are averaging 4.3 (18th).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.7 runs per game this season (20th in the league), while the Phillies are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (15th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .233 (ranking 26th in the Major leagues), while the Phillies are batting .235 (24th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Phillies have hit 125 (T6th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 115 (T14th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 383 RBIs to rank T24th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Phillies have recorded 410 RBIs to rank 16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Phillies have an earned run average of 4.23 this season (15th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.24 (17th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 894 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Phillies rank 1st for total strikeouts, recording 957.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .255 against the Phillies this season (26th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .237 (10th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 22-24-52 16-10-23 6-14-29 19-14-30 3-10-22 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Phillies 26-22-50 15-9-23 11-13-27 23-16-33 3-6-17 0-0-0 0-2-8

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 30-46-22 18-22-9 12-24-13 22-26-15 8-20-7 0-0-0 5-3-2
    Phillies 40-38-20 22-17-8 18-21-12 33-27-12 7-11-8 0-0-0 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 49-49 in Mets games this season. The Phillies also have a 49-49 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded a 4-1 victory over the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. Francisco Alvarez was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 2 RBIs.