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MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (July 18, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (56-40) face the Boston Red Sox (48-48) at Fenway Park on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Ian Seymour is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Patrick Sandoval is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are favored to win at -120, while the Rays are at -101. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -109 and UNDER at -111.

  • The Rays (+157) have a 55-41 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (-192) hold a record of 46-50.
  • The Rays have a 43-49-4 O/U record this season (meaning 43 games have gone over the total runs line, 49 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Red Sox also have a 43-49-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging 4.2 (23rd).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (9th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (3rd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .257 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .245 (12th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Red Sox have hit 90 (T29th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 95 (26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 407 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Red Sox have recorded 383 RBIs to rank T24th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.55 this season (4th in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.88 (9th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 776 this season, ranking T22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 814.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Red Sox this season (8th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .235 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 25-18-53 14-9-27 11-9-26 18-14-31 7-4-22 0-0-0 1-1-8
    Red Sox 19-31-46 11-12-23 8-19-23 13-17-30 6-14-16 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 38-30-28 21-16-13 17-14-15 30-22-11 8-8-17 0-0-0 3-5-2
    Red Sox 37-35-24 19-17-10 18-18-14 26-18-16 11-17-8 0-0-0 7-1-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -120.

  • The NRFI is 49-47 in Rays games this season. The Red Sox have a 44-52 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Red Sox recorded a 5-3 victory over the Rays at Fenway Park yesterday. Wilyer Abreu was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 3 RBIs.