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MLB Prop Bets: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals (July 23, 2026)

The Kansas City Royals (43-60) face the Detroit Tigers (48-54) at Comerica Park on Thursday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Randy Dobnak is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Troy Melton is the probable pitcher for the Tigers. The Tigers are favored to win at -205, while the Royals are at +167. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -104 and UNDER at -116.

  • The Royals (-126) have a 46-57 Run Line record this season, while the Tigers (+104) hold a record of 51-51.
  • The Royals have a 50-50-3 O/U record this season (meaning 50 games have gone over the total runs line, 50 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Tigers have a 43-57-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Royals are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 (21st).
  • In the field, the Royals are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Tigers are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (7th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .248 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Tigers are batting .235 (25th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Tigers have hit 125 (13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 104 (T23rd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 418 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Tigers have recorded 413 RBIs to rank 21st.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Tigers have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.64 (6th in the Majors), while the Royals are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.93 (28th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 780 this season, ranking 26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Tigers rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 860.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Tigers this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .263 (28th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 23-26-54 12-13-28 11-13-26 6-9-22 17-17-32 0-0-0 3-0-7
    Tigers 29-16-57 11-6-33 18-10-24 19-10-29 10-6-28 0-0-0 3-3-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Royals are +150 to lead after three innings, while the Tigers are -195.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 32-50-21 19-23-11 13-27-10 10-20-7 22-30-14 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Tigers 48-36-18 25-17-8 23-19-10 28-21-9 20-15-9 0-0-0 4-4-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 51-52 in Royals games this season. The Tigers have a 54-48 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Tigers recorded a 6-3 victory over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium when these teams last met on May 10. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Maikel Garcia did what he could, hitting a home run.