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MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians (July 24, 2026)

The Cleveland Guardians (54-50) face the Tampa Bay Rays (59-43) at Tropicana Field on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Joey Cantillo is the probable pitcher for the Guardians, while Shane McClanahan is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -137, while the Guardians are at +114. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Guardians (-186) have a 49-55 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+153) hold a record of 59-43.
  • The Guardians have a 49-55-0 O/U record this season (meaning 49 games have gone over the total runs line and 55 have gone under). The Rays have a 46-52-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Guardians are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging +0.5 more at 4.5 runs (14th).
  • In the field, the Guardians are allowing 4.1 runs per game this season (8th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (9th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at an impressive .259 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting an underwhelming .233 (27th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 103 (T25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Guardians have managed 103 (T25th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Guardians have recorded 399 RBIs to rank T28th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 435 RBIs to rank 17th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have an earned run average of 3.83 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Guardians have an ERA of 3.71 (8th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded 950 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank T22nd for total strikeouts, recording 814.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .233 against the Rays this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Guardians' opponents are at .237 (9th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Guardians 21-18-65 13-9-31 8-9-34 13-10-37 8-8-28 0-0-0 2-1-7
    Rays 26-20-56 14-9-27 12-11-29 18-15-31 8-5-25 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

The Guardians are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -145.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Guardians 37-31-36 22-15-16 15-16-20 23-18-19 14-13-17 0-0-0 3-2-5
    Rays 40-33-29 21-16-13 19-17-16 30-23-11 10-10-18 0-0-0 3-6-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.

  • The NRFI is 61-43 in Guardians games this season. The Rays have a 52-50 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Guardians recorded a 3-1 victory over the Rays at Progressive Field when these teams last met on April 29. Brayan Rocchio led the way to that victory, hitting a home run.