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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres (July 24, 2026)

The San Diego Padres (50-53) face the Miami Marlins (52-51) at LoanDepot Park on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. German Marquez is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while the Marlins' probable pitcher remains unclear. The Marlins are favored to win at -136, while the Padres are at +113. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.

  • These teams share a 51-52 Run Line record this season. The Padres are -175 to cover the run line while the Marlins are +144.
  • The Padres have a 47-55-1 O/U record this season (meaning 47 games have gone over the total runs line, 55 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 53-48-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Padres are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.4 (17th).
  • In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (10th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Padres are at .230 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .251 (8th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 104 (24th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 115 (19th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Padres have recorded 415 RBIs to rank 22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 440 RBIs to rank 15th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.05 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 4.25 (17th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 837 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T13th for total strikeouts, recording 868.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .230 against the Marlins this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .248 (21st).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 16-22-65 9-11-31 7-11-32 9-8-27 7-14-38 0-0-2 3-4-3
    Marlins 21-22-60 10-9-32 11-13-28 10-6-34 11-16-26 0-0-0 0-2-8

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 33-41-29 19-19-13 13-21-16 12-16-16 21-25-13 1-1-0 5-4-1
    Marlins 40-38-25 21-14-16 19-24-9 21-12-17 19-26-8 0-0-0 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.

  • The NRFI is 62-41 in Padres games this season. The Marlins have a 54-49 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a 3-2 victory over the Padres at LoanDepot Park when these teams last met on July 23, 2025. Jesus Sanchez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs.