MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays (July 27, 2026)
The Toronto Blue Jays (48-58) face the Washington Nationals (54-52) at Nationals Park on Monday at 6:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Max Scherzer is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Andrew Alvarez is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Nationals are favored to win at -131, while the Blue Jays are at +109. The total runs line is set at 10.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Blue Jays (-179) have a 50-56 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (+147) hold a record of 65-41.
- The Blue Jays have a 53-49-4 O/U record this season (meaning 53 games have gone over the total runs line, 49 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 59-43-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Blue Jays are averaging 3.9 runs per game this season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging +1.6 more at 5.5 runs (1st).
- In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (17th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.2 runs (28th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .243 (ranking 16th in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .255 (5th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 156 to rank 1st. Alternatively, the Blue Jays are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 104 (T26th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have been outstanding this season, recording 555 RBIs to rank 1st in the MLB. Comparatively, the Blue Jays have performed poorly in this area, recording only 399 RBIs to rank 30th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.78 this season (27th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.16 (14th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 942 this season, ranking 7th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 24th for total strikeouts, recording 827.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .260 against the Nationals this season (27th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .242 (16th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 20-33-53 | 11-19-26 | 9-14-27 | 14-21-26 | 6-12-27 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Nationals | 32-21-53 | 18-10-26 | 14-11-27 | 9-4-12 | 23-17-41 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 34-47-25 | 18-24-14 | 16-23-11 | 23-24-14 | 11-23-11 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
| Nationals | 43-32-31 | 25-16-13 | 18-16-18 | 14-4-7 | 29-28-24 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
- The NRFI is 50-56 in Blue Jays games this season. The Nationals also have a 50-56 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Blue Jays recorded a 4-2 victory over the Nationals at Rogers Centre when these teams last met on April 2, 2025. George Springer went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Blue Jays have now won four straight at Rogers Centre against the Nationals.
