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MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians (July 27, 2026)

The Cleveland Guardians (54-53) face the Cincinnati Reds (49-55) at Great American Ball Park on Monday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Slade Cecconi is the probable pitcher for the Guardians, while Chase Burns is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Reds are favored to win at -175, while the Guardians are at +144. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.

  • The Guardians (-143) have a 50-57 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (+119) hold a record of 57-47.
  • The Guardians have a 50-57-0 O/U record this season (meaning 50 games have gone over the total runs line and 57 have gone under). The Reds have a 56-48-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Guardians are averaging 3.9 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging 4.2 (25th).
  • In the field, the Guardians are allowing 4.1 runs per game this season (8th in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (22nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Guardians are at .230 (ranking 29th in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .230 (30th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 137 to rank 5th. Alternatively, the Guardians are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 104 (T26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Guardians have recorded 402 RBIs to rank 29th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 413 RBIs to rank 26th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Reds have an earned run average of 4.52 this season (23rd in the Majors), while The Guardians have an ERA of 3.75 (8th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded 975 this season, ranking 4th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 23rd for total strikeouts, recording 838.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .246 against the Reds this season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Guardians' opponents are at .239 (12th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Guardians 21-18-68 13-9-31 8-9-37 13-10-37 8-8-31 0-0-0 1-1-8
    Reds 22-28-54 9-12-29 13-16-25 9-7-16 13-21-38 0-0-0 3-3-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Guardians 37-32-38 22-15-16 15-17-22 23-18-19 14-14-19 0-0-0 2-3-5
    Reds 32-42-30 15-19-16 17-23-14 12-11-9 20-31-21 0-0-0 4-4-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 64-43 in Guardians games this season. The Reds have a 52-52 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Guardians recorded a 10-3 victory over the Reds at Progressive Field when these teams last met on May 17. Kyle Manzardo was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 3 RBIs.